after one or two months, or more, i would expect to pick one up easily for about the 400 [euros] mark
Are you just trying to be funny?!
400 Euros works out at £277. With a wireless controller and HDD?! That' s nothing but a pipedream!
Sony would NEVER take that much of a loss on every console. That would not only be more than Microsoft lose on either of their consoles, but it would be the biggest loss any company has ever taken for ANY console.
You should be looking at the component prices for the machine (and bear in mind that even the component prices aren' t the total cost of production, because labour isn' t included).
A single 360 costs Microsoft $513-ish to produce, and PS3' s components are more expensive meaning the cost of production will be higher for Sony. The component cost fo a single PS3 is about $800 (some have estimated as much as $905).
So if Sony launched at $450, they would still lose around $350 on every machine sold. That' s NEVER going to happen because Sony simply don' t have the guts to take such a risk. They' re bettng pretty much everything they have on Blu-Ray being a success.
The PS3' s Blu-Ray drive alone adds $200+ to the price of production and CELL isn' t cheap to produce either.
I know what you' re saying about getting it on day 1 and getting ripped off, ...usually by the shop only selling the machine in custom packages (with a selection of games and extras etc...), but launching so cheap would be shooting themselves in the foot.
I only wish it was possible because i DO plan on getting one at launch...