RE: PS3 vs Xbox360 vs Nintendo Revoloution which one will win?
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Jul 15, 2005 10:40
I think all three will co-exist healthily in the market. But in different regions, some systems will sell better than others. Here' s what I think:
Microsoft X-box 360- Since it' s coming out this holiday season, the 360 will have the early lead in the console war. It has superb Live features and is a great multimedia device. It will attract both hardcore players and tech junkies. However, Microsoft' s over-zelous reliability for HD will turn on them; only about ten percent of homes worldwide have HD TVs. Plus, Microsoft seems to be over-achieving with 360, proclaiming that they want to get a billion people playing the system, which is pretty much impossible.
Sony Playstation 3- The next system out of the gate, Sony promises big things with PS3. However, looking at the facts, what does the Playstation 3 have that the 360 doesn' t? In other words, Microsoft seems to trump all of Sony PS3' s capabilities, but making it (the 360) more developer-friendly, and maybe even cheaper in retail. Plus, developers' s unfamiliarity with Bluray proprierity format could alienate developers, and incidentally make them flock to 360. And again, Sony' s over-reliance for HD will prove costly in the long-run.
Nintendo Revolution- Still an enigma, Nintendo promises a paradigm shift with Revolution. It offers a different flavor of game from Sony and Microsoft' s respective systems. The Revolution hopes to ' revolutionize' the video game industry, slashing high development costs and attracting non-gamers alike. Is it possible? Sure, if Nintendo plays its cards right. After all, the overall disappointment of Gamecube and lack of third party support could overall sink the system, but hopefully the affordablility of the product will make this system a seller.
Regions:
United States- The 360 seems to be the system to beat in the states. Not only is it going to be released this year world-wide, but Microsoft' s promise for an amazing launch will sell some 360s. Microsoft is already up to 40 percent market share in the U.S, so there' s no doubt the franchise is popular. As for the Playstation 3, I think it will alienate consumers. It will be expensive, more in fact than 360, and for it to have all the features the 360 has, especially when the 360 has been out first, has more games, and has developed a strong user base, Playstation will be the underdog. Revolution, though, is a different story. If Nintendo releases non-games and user-friendly games as well, and fixes the no-nos from the GCN like marketing and promotion, then Nintendo could certainly surpass Sony in the States. If Nintendo remains ' Nintendo' like last gen, don' t expect a Revolution here.
Japan- This is a different story. In recent polls, and seeing the flop of Xbox there, it doesn' t seem like the 360 will put a dent in the market this gen either. The playstation 3 will do better than Microsoft' s system, we know that much, thanks to the monster success of PS in Japan (that' s not to say it' s not popular in the states, but PS owns 80 percent in Japan, but only 50 percent in U.S). But the Revolution, I' m sure, will be the market leader. Nintendo' s eagerness for affordability and innovation will be the key to their success, so expect Nintendo to be the company to beat in Japan, more, in fact, than the juggernaut Sony.
Europe- Expect the turnout to be similar to the United States. I see the Xbox 360 or the Revolution being console king, but whatever happens in the States, will happen in Europe.
So, which will win?? Too early to tell. Even with my pre-mature, ignoramus predictions, it' s still too soon to tell what the full plans for Microsoft and Sony are. As for Nintendo, we know almost nothing about Revolution, so until we find out all the strategies for the big three, then can we make a hypothesis.
But in truth, from what I' ve seen so far from the three consoles, this is a 360 and Revolution battle. PS3, to me, remains in my head an expensive 360 clone, while Revolution will be offering a different flavor altogether. Expect a great console round.