I' ve got multiple theories for the direction in which Nintendo will be taking, none of them concrete in my mind. The one thing I am certain of however is that there' s no way Nintendo would give back ground they took from Microsoft and Sony in the next generation of home consoles. While the DS is wildly successful, it' s not enough to make a brand on, and Nintendo know that. They' re going to need to stay competitive in next-gen' s home console race, and that' s going to mean one of a few things. Either:
Taking the experience Sony and Microsoft are currently, and will be providing in 2010, and going beyond that to attract their userbase. This would require spending billions on the new hardware itself, and trying to totally re-establish their label as having hardware worth writing home about, a position they haven' t held since the N64 days.
OR
The path I consider most likely, they will focus once again on making an individual statement with their console, and not following the direction that Sony and Microsoft are taking, thereby eliminating the need to outperform.
When Perrin Kaplan talked about Nintendo' s " Blue Ocean" strategy back in 2006, it wasn' t limited to the DS and the Wii as hardware platforms. They' re going to try to capitalize on their unique niche in the market (casual gaming for the casual gamer) for as long as possible. They' ve had a lot of success with it, and now they' re going to run with it.
With either choice they make, Nintendo is going to have to update their hardware significantly. By 2010, the HDTV attach rate will be huge, especially with cable switching over later this year. It would be financial suicide
not to include support for
at the very least, 720p, in their next home console. They simply aren' t going to be able to get by with skimpy RAM, and an outdated processor, due to the hardware demands of HD gaming, more so than the consumer' s interest in a " Good looking" Nintendo machine.
When has Nintendo ever used the most advanced technology available?
Not accounting for choice in media format, the N64 and Gamecube. Generally speaking, both surpassed their Sony counterpart in terms of hardware capability.
Are you freaking out because you were all wrong with your predictions of seeing a huge fall-off of Wii sales this year?
Are we still right where we were a year ago with the low supply, high demand market Nintendo' s created?